BizarroMath™ Sports Analysis System |
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Last Updated: 02:00 on Sunday, October 13, 2024
Florida Atlantic 2024 Season Summary
National Average Data
| Category
| 2023 Raw
| 2024 Raw
| 2024 Blended (Δ)
|
| Points Per Game (PPG) |
26.70 |
26.64 |
26.66 (+0.02) |
| Yards Per Game (YPG) |
379.93 |
374.92 |
376.36 (+1.44) |
| Yards Per Play (YPP) |
5.70 |
5.77 |
5.75 (-0.02) |
Florida Atlantic 2024 - Unit Statistics
Offense
| Category
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Raw
| 2024 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Blended (Δ)
|
|---|
| Points Scored per Game (PPG): |
22.09 |
22.14 (+0.05) |
21.20 |
21.15 (-0.05) |
21.52 (+0.37) |
| Yards Gained per Game (YPG): |
313.64 |
286.91 (-26.72) |
319.40 |
333.03 (+13.63) |
315.74 (-17.29) |
| Yards Gained per Play (YPP): |
4.91 |
4.51 (-0.40) |
5.09 |
5.59 (+0.50) |
5.18 (-0.40) |
Defense
| Category
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Raw
| 2024 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Blended (Δ)
|
|---|
| Points Yielded per Game (PPG): |
26.00 |
29.94 (+3.94) |
29.80 |
26.04 (-3.76) |
27.50 (+1.47) |
| Yards Yielded per Game (YPG): |
394.82 |
424.56 (+29.74) |
427.40 |
420.72 (-6.68) |
422.16 (+1.44) |
| Yards Yielded per Play (YPP): |
5.54 |
6.08 (+0.54) |
6.34 |
6.06 (-0.28) |
6.07 (+0.01) |
Intangibles
| Category
| Measure(s)
|
| Home Field Advantage
| +2.2 |
Schedule Analysis
| Date
| Opponent
| BizMa Points For
| BizMa Points Against
| BizMa Spread
| BizMa O/U
| BizMa Win %
| Real Outcome
| Team Record
|
| 2024-08-30 |
@Michigan State |
17.27 |
24.04 |
+6.77 |
41.31 |
39.14% |
L 10-16 |
0-1 |
| 2024-09-07 |
Army |
19.33 |
31.87 |
+12.54 |
51.19 |
29.89% |
L 7-24 |
0-2 |
| 2024-09-14 |
Florida International |
26.05 |
24.08 |
-1.97 |
50.13 |
53.16% |
W 38-20 |
1-2 |
| 2024-09-21 |
@UConn |
21.45 |
34.41 |
+12.97 |
55.86 |
29.20% |
L 14-48 |
1-3 |
| 2024-09-28 |
Wagner |
Non-FBS Opponent |
W 41-10 |
2-3 |
| 2024-10-12 |
North Texas |
37.22 |
38.91 |
+1.69 |
76.13 |
47.30% |
L 37-41 |
2-4 |
| 2024-10-19 |
@UTSA |
30.53 |
18.11 |
-12.42 |
48.65 |
69.92% |
n/a |
n/a |
| 2024-11-01 |
South Florida |
30.90 |
24.58 |
-6.33 |
55.48 |
60.15% |
n/a |
n/a |
| 2024-11-08 |
@East Carolina |
27.65 |
21.63 |
-6.03 |
49.28 |
59.66% |
n/a |
n/a |
| 2024-11-16 |
@Temple |
28.35 |
20.59 |
-7.76 |
48.95 |
62.44% |
n/a |
n/a |
| 2024-11-23 |
Charlotte |
25.65 |
18.99 |
-6.67 |
44.64 |
60.69% |
n/a |
n/a |
| 2024-11-30 |
@Tulsa |
30.57 |
15.74 |
-14.83 |
46.31 |
73.79% |
n/a |
n/a |
Season Analysis
| Record
| Probability
| Ceiling
| Floor
|
| 2-10 |
0.20% |
0.00% |
100.00% |
| 3-9 |
2.09% |
0.20% |
99.80% |
| 4-8 |
9.85% |
2.29% |
97.70% |
| 5-7 |
24.17% |
12.15% |
87.85% |
| 6-6 |
32.98% |
36.32% |
63.68% |
| 7-5 |
23.70% |
69.30% |
30.70% |
| 8-4 |
7.00% |
93.00% |
7.00% |
Expected Wins Analysis
| Record
| Probability
|
| 1-11 |
0.02% |
| 2-10 |
0.21% |
| 3-9 |
1.37% |
| 4-8 |
5.11% |
| 5-7 |
12.72% |
| 6-6 |
21.70% |
| 7-5 |
24.62% |
| 8-4 |
19.58% |
| 9-3 |
10.42% |
| 10-2 |
3.44% |
| 11-1 |
0.75% |
| 12-0 |
0.06% |